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How you navigate the quarterback position in drafts could be the difference-maker between winning a fantasy football championship and going home empty-handed.
In a superflex league, virtually all quarterbacks have a strong value.
Even that third guy you take to handle your bye weeks if you just take a cursory glance at any superflex ADP.
But in a league where you are only starting one quarterback, you need to understand that forcing value at the position with a high pick could be your undoing.
While everyone else is chasing that “Konami cheat code” mobile quarterback, you have to really evaluate that tier and decide whether it is truly right for you based on how your first few picks go.
Are you sure that Josh Allen, who lost Stefon Diggs, is worth that early third-round pick?
What about Jalen Hurts without Jason Kelce and in a new system that is expected to feature Saquon Barkley near the goal line?
Suddenly the top tier of quarterbacks is littered with question marks.
You can go for the next tier of mobile guys like Anthony Richardson or Kyler Murray, but there are, obviously, some questions there regarding health.
And then from there, you’re navigating the likes of C.J. Stroud, Jordan Love and Joe Burrow.
These guys are all rock-solid options and can be considered at a reasonable cost, but are you getting any real edge over your competition, statistically speaking?
Last season you saw Dak Prescott, who has a current ADP of 75 (early-seventh round in a 12-team league), finish third overall in fantasy points, more than 20 points more than Stroud, Love or even Patrick Mahomes.
Jared Goff, with his 106 ADP, finished seventh in fantasy points, ahead of both Mahomes and Stroud as well.
Yes, these are last season’s totals with this season’s ADP, but Goff was an afterthought in drafts last year, as were guys like Brock Purdy, Tua Tagovailoa and Baker Mayfield, who all finished among the top 10 at the position.
The takeaway here is to figure out what is more important to you in your draft.
If people are drafting high-end quarterbacks, you can either join the fray or grab high-end talent like Josh Jacobs, Michael Pittman or DK Metcalf instead.
Betting on the NFL?
Stockpiling running backs and wide receivers or grabbing an elite tight end might just be the better way to go, especially when you see veteran quarterbacks like Goff or Matthew Stafford going so late.
We’re not saying that either is a better quarterback than Mahomes, but is your team better off with Mahomes and Keon Coleman or Goff and Mike Evans?
These decisions can be made before your draft, but the questions are likely better answered once you’re in the war room and seeing what everyone else is doing.
And if you go the cheaper route of Stafford or Goff and you want some quarterback upside, draft Will Levis late.
If you look at what Tennessee is doing, he could be top 10 by the end of the year.
Howard Bender is the head of content at FantasyAlarm.com. Follow him on X @rotobuzzguy: and catch him on the award-winning “Fantasy Alarm Radio Show” on the SiriusXM fantasy sports channel weekdays from 6-8 p.m. Go to FantasyAlarm.com for all your fantasy football news and advice.
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